--- title: "Meaning & Key Takeaway of: Belief in the Law of Small Numbers." description: "\"“Belief in the Law of Small Numbers.”\" — Daniel Kahneman" image: "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/1f9/daniel-kahneman-431_belief_belief-in-the-law-of-small-numbers-4428_4428.jpg" --- # Belief in the Law of Small Numbers. ![“Belief in the Law of Small Numbers.” quote by Daniel Kahneman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/1f9/daniel-kahneman-431_belief_belief-in-the-law-of-small-numbers-4428_4428.jpg) [Download](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/1f9/daniel-kahneman-431_belief_belief-in-the-law-of-small-numbers-4428_4428.jpg) [Open image](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/1f9/daniel-kahneman-431_belief_belief-in-the-law-of-small-numbers-4428_4428.jpg) > ““Belief in the Law of Small Numbers.”” [Daniel Kahneman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/daniel-kahneman/) ## About This Quote This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation. People mistakenly believe small samples reflect broader patterns, leading to overconfidence in limited data. **In simple terms:** Small samples mislead about reality. Key Takeaway The law of small numbers is a cognitive bias. Themes bias statistics decision‑making probability Mood analytical cautious Type educational scientific observation When to use this quote - medical trials - market research - personal anecdotes used as evidence Key Concepts representativeness heuristic sample size fallacy Practical Applications - use larger, random samples - apply statistical confidence intervals Questions to Reflect On - How can we train intuition to respect sample size? - When is a small sample legitimately reliable? 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